Fundamental vs Technical Analysis
Technical Analyis
Support vs Resistance
Support - prices on a chart that tend to act as a floor by preventing the price of an asset from being pushed downward
Resistance levels - also regarded as a ceiling because these price levels prevent the market from moving prices upward
GSW1 - 1985 to 1997
Wave 3 - 1989 to Dec 1993 (500 to 3300/3474)
GSW2 - 1997 to 2001 - (3474 to 1000)
GSW3 - 2001 to ____
Super Cycle Wave 1 - Oct 2001 to Aug 2007 - 6 yrs more or less - (1000 to 3800)
Super Cycle Wave 2 - Oct 2007 to Nov 2008 - 1 yr " "
Super Cycle Wave 3 - 031709 to ? ( est dec2013 june 2014) - (1747 to ____)
cw 1 - 031709 to 080211
cw 2 - 080211 to 092611 or 110310 to 092611
cw 3 - 092611 to 051513
cw 4 - 051513 to 062513 nx is sideways/consolidations
cw 5 - 062513 to est. dec or nx yr
Supercycle Wave 4 may be in 2014 up to 2015 (1 year)
Supercylce Wave 5 may be in 2015.
Sources:
http://www.investopedia.com/articles/technical/061801.asp
http://www.pinoymoneytalk.com/forum
http://www.pinoymoneytalk.com/forum/index.php?topic=44602.720
Showing posts with label Finance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Finance. Show all posts
Thursday, June 27, 2013
Sunday, June 23, 2013
Financial Sites
Bloomberg - http://bloomberg.com/
Financial Times - http://www.ft.com/
Reuters - http://www.reuters.com/
BLOGS:
Absolutetraders.com - http://absolutetraders.com/main/
tsupitero.com - http://tsupitero.com/
CONCEPTS:
Elliott Wave - http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:market_analysis:elliott_wave_theory
http://www.moneylifeblood.com/2013/02/dividend-paying-stocks-and-5-year.html#.UcqDo_lORH0
Financial Times - http://www.ft.com/
Reuters - http://www.reuters.com/
BLOGS:
Absolutetraders.com - http://absolutetraders.com/main/
tsupitero.com - http://tsupitero.com/
CONCEPTS:
Elliott Wave - http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:market_analysis:elliott_wave_theory
http://www.moneylifeblood.com/2013/02/dividend-paying-stocks-and-5-year.html#.UcqDo_lORH0
Stock Code | Bloomberg Quote | Financial Times Quote | Reuters Quote | Dividend Per Share 2012 | Dividend Yield | Average | ||||
2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | ||||||
FGEN | FGEN:PM | FGEN:PHS | FGEN:PS | 9.76 | 9.76 | |||||
TEL | TEL:PM | TEL:PHS | TEL:PS | Php 171 | 8.73 | 8.57 | 7.9 | 9.17 | 4.72 | 7.818 |
GLO | GLO:PM | GLO:PHS | GLO:PS | Php 65.00 | 5.47 | 0 | 2.46 | 6.45 | 7.39 | 4.354 |
RLC | RLC:PM | RLC:PHS | RLC:PS | Php 0.36 | 3.19 | 3.23 | 2.57 | 7.53 | 4.13 | |
URC | URC:PM | URC:PHS | URC:PS | Php 1.90 | 4.58 | 2.27 | 2.27 | 7.16 | 4.07 | |
BPI | BPI:PM | BPI:PHS | BPI:PS | Php 2.30 | 3.26 | 1.53 | 3.85 | 7.48 | 1.81 | 3.586 |
PX | PX:PM | PX:PHS | PX:PS | Php 0.53 | 1.68 | 0.87 | 7.7 | 3.416667 | ||
EDC | EDC:PM | EDC:PHS | EDC:PS | Php 1.14 | 2.54 | 2.04 | 2.66 | 7.76 | 1.9 | 3.38 |
SCC:PM | SCC:PHS | SCC:PS | Php 12.00 | 4.52 | 3.24 | 1.22 | 3.95 | 2.81 | 3.148 | |
SMPH | SMPH:PM | SMPH:PHS | SMPH:PS | Php 0.29 | 2.54 | 2.75 | 3.06 | 4 | 3.29 | 3.128 |
AP | AP:PM | AP:PHS | AP:PS | Php 1.54 | 4.41 | 0.96 | 2.33 | 4.74 | 3.11 | |
BDO | BDO:PM | BDO:PHS | BDO:PS | 3% stock div | 1.88 | 1.52 | 0.8 | 7.39 | 1.47 | 2.612 |
AEV | AEV:PM | AEV:PHS | AEV:PS | Php 1.58 | 3.94 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.89 | 2.9 | 2.426 |
MWC | MWC:PM | MWC:PHS | MWC:PS | Php 0.60 | 2.89 | 2.4 | 2.54 | 2.64 | 0.81 | 2.256 |
SMDC | SMDC:PM | SMDC:PHS | SMDC:PS | Php 0.05 | 1.62 | 1.12 | 1.77 | 3.18 | 3.56 | 2.25 |
DMC | DMC:PM | DMC:PHS | DMC:PS | Php 1.20 | 2.42 | 1.39 | 2.06 | 3.77 | 1.04 | 2.136 |
MER:PM | MER:PHS | MER:PS | Php 8.10 | 3.16 | 2.48 | 1.22 | 1.68 | 2.135 | ||
SMC | SMC:PM | SMC:PHS | SMC:PS | Php 1.75 | 0.9 | 4.12 | 0.51 | 2.59 | 2.37 | 2.098 |
MBT:PM | MBT:PHS | MBT:PS | Php 1.0 | 1.47 | 0.83 | 2.28 | 4.47 | 1.13 | 2.036 | |
AGI:PM | AGI:PHS | AGI:PS | Php 0.36 | 3.48 | 0.48 | 1.98 | ||||
SM | SM:PM | SM:PHS | SM:PS | Php 10.40 | 1.55 | 1.45 | 2.12 | 3.07 | 1.59 | 1.956 |
JFC | JFC:PM | JFC:PHS | JFC:PS | Php 2.20 | 1.18 | 2.53 | 1.55 | 2.02 | 1.54 | 1.764 |
AC | AC:PM | AC:PHS | AC:PS | Php 2.00 | 1.93 | 1.22 | 1.59 | 1.15 | 2.55 | 1.688 |
ICT | ICT:PM | ICT:PHS | ICT:PS | Php 0.65 | 0.94 | 0.89 | 1.78 | 2.75 | 0.66 | 1.404 |
MEG:PM | MEG:PHS | MEG:PS | Php 0.03 | 1.4 | 0.77 | 1.28 | 2.77 | 0.49 | 1.342 | |
PCOR:PM | PCOR:PHS | PCOR:PS | Php 0.10 | 0.79 | 0.53 | 1.96 | 1.75 | 1.2575 | ||
ALI | ALI:PM | ALI:PHS | ALI:PS | Php 0.21 | 0.97 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.94 | 0.42 | 0.686 |
JGS | JGS:PM | JGS:PHS | JGS:PS | Php 0.16 | 0.32 | 0.26 | 0.45 | 1.76 | 0.26 | 0.61 |
MPI | MPI:PM | MPI:PHS | MPI:PS | Php 0.03 | 0.68 | 0.26 | 0.47 |
Wednesday, October 3, 2012
Outline: Warren Buffett's Management Secrets
by Mary Buffett and David Clark
- never really change
- easy to sell
- own a piece of consumer's mind
- sell unique product, e.g. Coca Cola, Hershey
- sell unique service, sell what people need
- low cost buyer and seller of product/service that the public is consistently in need of - offer low cost through high volum, e.g. Walmart, Costco, Burlington
- debt test - long term debt must be low, debt load should be < 5*net earnings
- gross margin test - must be higher
gross profit = revenue - cost of good sold
gross margin = gross profit/revenue
- leave managers alone - let them continue to think their business as their own
- managers must have a GREAT deal of INTEGRITY
- promote from within if possible
- look for talent w/ proven talent record
- victor = with internal locus of control - in control of themselves, take responsibility for their failures
- victim = with external locus of control - don't believe that they have power to solve their problems
Step 1. Pick the right business to work for (business that offers greatest career opportunities)
Chapter 1. how to find companies that offer greatest career opportunities (w/ durable competitive advantage)
have products that:- never really change
- easy to sell
- own a piece of consumer's mind
- sell unique product, e.g. Coca Cola, Hershey
- sell unique service, sell what people need
- low cost buyer and seller of product/service that the public is consistently in need of - offer low cost through high volum, e.g. Walmart, Costco, Burlington
Chapter 2. quick test for identifying the best company to work for
- per share earnings test (10 year period) - consistent and has upward trend- debt test - long term debt must be low, debt load should be < 5*net earnings
- gross margin test - must be higher
gross profit = revenue - cost of good sold
gross margin = gross profit/revenue
Step 2. Delegate
Chapter 3. rules for delegating authority
- every business culture is unique- leave managers alone - let them continue to think their business as their own
- managers must have a GREAT deal of INTEGRITY
Step 3. Find the right manager for the job
Chapter 4. where to start search for manager
- change manager only when necessary- promote from within if possible
- look for talent w/ proven talent record
Chapter 5. victor or victim
- must have an internal locus of control- victor = with internal locus of control - in control of themselves, take responsibility for their failures
- victim = with external locus of control - don't believe that they have power to solve their problems
Chapter 6. work at a job you like
- do what you love/love what you do, must not be driven by moneyChapter 7. put a winning sales team together
- find people who believe in the productChapter 8. obsession
- sd
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